Unitarian Congregation of Norfolk

Fiduciary Duty

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Fiduciary Duty
Caveat Emptor

ETF Investing Guide: Why Indexing Wins

Actively managed mutual funds are generally a bad deal (Why You Shouldnt Buy Mutual Funds). Research suggests they under-perform the market indexes by 2-3 percentage points per year in aggregate, adjusting for survivorship bias.

Effect of Low Expenses

Keeping Investing Simple: Index Investing

The Money-Chimp Calculator

Always remember the total-return swap: UUA Boston will have a hard time reaching 5% real, as will everyone, yet our Endowment Committee chose to pay them 1.1% of our money to do something we have been doing quite nicely for ourselves--investing as well as Boston does. Why pay Boston to do what we can continue to do here, and invest part of our funds in Hampton Roads? Click here.

Our Endowment Committee did as well as UUA Boston.  However, in October, 2009, by voting to send our money to Boston, our Endowment Committee essentially voted to disband, even though our church-membership identifies two accountants and several members who could have easily watched over this fund with local control of expenses and local accountability.  The Board could have done so, as well, and can certainly do so now that the Endowment Committee has decided to send control of the money out of town.  President Kennedy said, "A rising tide lifts all boats."  The opposite is also true.
                                                                         =================
 
The rest of this page gives technical reasons why we did as well as Boston, and why with still lower expenses we might have surpassed Boston:
 
  i.  No one can predict the future;
 ii.  Therefore, we have invested in both stocks and bonds with
      no attempt to time the markets.  Such a course is required for
      prudence, in my opinion.

1. Index Investing: Less expense = less risk = more profit. Jason Zweig in Wall Street Journal: The Markets Are Hard To Beat. Relevance to UCN: As A Matter of Fiduciary Duty To Donors (i.e., The Prudent Man Rule under Virginia law), Why Waste UCN Money Trying To Beat The Market By Paying An Extra 1.1% To Send Our Money Out of State, when expected return is only about 5%? 1.1% / 5% = 20+% for a fee we cannot afford!

 
Fiduciary duty means prudence with other people's money. 
Entertain neither investment nor donation without it: 
 
  What is the written plan of our Endowment Committee? 
  Can we compare how we have done vice other written plans?   
 
1. Has the congregation elected those who recommend investments?  -- 50%.
2. Has the congregation approved the committee's recommendations? --  0%.
 
Because it does not waste money (on redundant salaries, for example), passive investing is an element of fiduciary duty as a matter of choosing "sound financial instruments" (prudence), along with transparency and democracy.  The UCN By-laws stipulate direct Congregational election of half the Endowment Committee's members: 

"9.1 Endowment Committee: The Endowment committee solicits contributions to the Endowment Fund of the church, invests those contributions in sound financial instruments, and reports regularly to the Board and Congregation as to the details of the Endowment Fund. Gifts and bequests to the fund shall accumulate until principal amount of $250,000 is achieved, after which the income generated from the investment of the principal may be expended beginning the following calendar year.

The Endowment Committee consists of six (6) regular members, all of whom must be members of the church, and the Treasurer, who is a non-voting advisor. The term for each member is three (3) years. The congregation shall elect one (1) member annually at the annual meeting, and the Board shall appoint one (1) member annually and fill any vacancies until the end of any expired..."

    If the intent of the By-laws is Congregational oversight of its investments, I ask that the congregation vote whether to consider passive investing an essential part of the prudent care of its money, because we can save approximately $8,000 in fees over 5 years  if we invest our $109, 000 outside UUA Boston's Common Endowment Fund ( it charges ~ 1.1% additional cost over exchange-traded funds), unless someone  demonstrates that its 13 additional paid advisors will with certainty outperform passive (prudent) investing {as with TIAA-CREF (0.46%) or KLD (0.50%) or Vanguard's FTSE Socially-Responsible Fund (0.29%), or our own superb current investing  cost of only 0.21555% }.  Can we afford to ignore $8,000, more than the dues we pay the TJ District itself?

1-18.gif
Click picture.

UUA Boston Common Endowment Fund Performance vs. Fees

----------------------

Holding Stocks AND Bonds
filmstrip.jpg
Is Better Than Holding All Stocks.

A Run Can Last A Lifetime.
arnott_figure1.jpg
<= Click all pictures =>

Risk matters, so why is cash missing
3principles_piechart.jpg
in this allocation, and why is International only 10%?

The main argument in favor of index funds over actively managed mutual funds goes like this:

  1. You can't find an active manager who will beat the market ... But you'll have to pay them a high expense ratio to try ...

      And their efforts will result in portfolio churning, which will hurt you through transaction costs and more frequent payments of capital gains taxes.

'Closet index funds' have higher fees than true index funds but don't differ enough to justify the higher costs. Can UCN afford to ignore $8,000 every 5 years?

Anyone (Including A Paid Financial Advisor) Can Buy Index Funds Directly and Save Money. Click here.

I.  UCN's expenses are already lower than Boston's expenses, and doing as well as Boston according to Mr. Hamlin, so why should UCN invest with UUA? 
What Are The Costs?  Benefits?  Does UUA Get What It Pays For?  UUA says it pays a management fee to 13 different fund managers and yet charges churches like UCN "only" 1.1%/year to do so, as when the 13 different managers have a bad year (2008) and make no money.  This table shows that anyone can save money by investing in the identical asset classes as UUA, if desired, at less than 1/4 the cost  (0.2164% << 1.1000%), because we don't need to pay for 2 layers of management.  TIAA-CREF has 2 socially-responsible funds with lower costs than UUA.

100% =
15%
+ 20%
+ 5%
+ 15%
+ 15%
+ 19%

+ 5%

+ 5%
+ 1%
 

Non-Correlated

Class

International Equity Class

US Small Stock Class

US Large Stock Class

GTAA Global Tactical Asset Allocation Class

US Fixed Income

US High Yield

Global Bonds

Community

Investments

UUA's Expense Ratio =

1.10 %:

Bridgewater
Relational
E.R. = ???
Templeton
Artio
5.42% ????
Hotchkis/Pier
E.R. 1.08%
Sands/Rhumbline
GMO/Wellington
0.60%  ???
Oppenheimer
1.10%???

GMO

0.56%

gmgbx

Pending further investigation
UUA Expense
Ratio if all ETF =
0.2164%
VNQ

0.12%

VEU
0.22%
VBR
0.15%
VV
0.13%

TAA

0.47%

BND
0.11%

VWEHX 0.32% 

BWX

0.40%

Norfolk investment

"Point number 1 has been established through numerous studies. The more of these you see, the more overwhelming the evidence looks that no manager can beat the market in the long run. In the short run a few of them will do it through sheer luck, and a few lucky investors will have chosen the lucky managers ... But now we're talking "luck squared" - and face it, you aren't that lucky.
 
 $8,000:  By using exchange-traded funds available on the internet at less cost than UUA's 13 managers, UCN can easily  invest more efficiently than UUA is investing now.  So can any oganization, person, or UUA itself. 
 
A comparison below shows the anticipated savings to be over $8,000 in 5 years using the same asset allocation recommended by UUA in Boston:  Why should we pay $8,000 for something we can do ourselves? 
 
In addition, we might want to lend more than just 1% to our own community   rather than in a community chosen by someone in Boston.  Think of  $8,000 as a Boston Tea Tax:  Let Boston invest in Boston; let Norfolk invest in Norfolk...

 
II.  UCN is less expensive than UUA.  UCN can save still more money by switching to ETF's:

100% =
 5% +
US Cash
 15%  +
30%  +
15% +
15% +
10% +

 
10%

Allocations=>>
US
Cash
5%
US Bonds
15%
US
CD's
15%
US Stocks
15%
US Stocks
15%
US Stocks
10%

 
US
Stocks
10%

Current UCN Endowment Fund
Expense Ratio ==> 0.21555%
Gamco Westwood Money Market Fund  0.08%
Janus
Flexible 
Bond
Fund 
 
0.55%
? zero cost to invest in CD's (6 x $5,000).
T Rowe Price
Equity Income
0.71%
T Rowe Price Mid Cap Growth  E.R.
 
 = 0.83%
Vanguard 500 Stock Index Fund E.R. = 0.18%
 

Neuman Berman
Socially
Resonsive 0.89%

A Less Expensive UCN Endowment uses ETF's: 
Expense Ratio ==> 0.1085%
 
 
 
TIP
0.20%
 
 
 
BSV
0.14%
2010
2012
2012
2013
2013
2014
 
iShares Dow Jones
Select Dividend Index
DVY
0.40%
Vanguard
Mid Cap
Growth
VOT
0.15%
Vanguard 
US
Market
VTI
0.09%

 
 
 
 
KLD
0.50%

Active Investing

Passive Investing

"Point number 1 has been established through numerous studies. The more of these you see, the more overwhelming the evidence looks that no manager can beat the market in the long run. In the short run a few of them will do it through sheer luck, and a few lucky investors will have chosen the lucky managers ... But now we're talking "luck squared" - and face it, you aren't that lucky."

Can UCN afford to ignore $ 8, 657.25?  The predicted additional amount gained for UCN on $104,000 invested over 5 years at an E.R.-difference of 0.8836% is  $ 8, 657.25.  

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Active Investing

"Point number 1 has been established through numerous studies. The more of these you see, the more overwhelming the evidence looks that no manager can beat the market in the long run. In the short run a few of them will do it through sheer luck, and a few lucky investors will have chosen the lucky managers ... But now we're talking "luck squared" - and face it, you aren't that lucky."

Passive Investing

Can UCN afford to ignore $ 8, 657.25?  The predicted additional amount gained for UCN on $104,000 invested over 5 years at an E.R.-difference of 0.8836% is  $ 8, 657.25.  
 
(E.R. = expense ratio.  UUA pays 13 different managers to invest its money, but I cannot find the E.R. for those managers in the UUA report below.  If UUA's managers make nothing for us during those 5 years, we still have to pay 1.1% to UUA just to have it allow 13 managers to handle our funds.  This might have made sense before the internet and before passive investing, but as the Google search below shows, research confirms that passive investing beats active investing over 70% of the time.)
 
  Why would we ignore the lifetime of experience of experts like John Bogle, founder of Vanguard, a mutual company (i.e. no conflict of interest? 

  • The Wall Street Journal

Five Things Every Fund Investor Needs to Know

Does it pay to stay active?

Actively managed stock mutual funds rebounded in 2009, ending slightly ahead of their no-frills, passive counterparts: index funds. But it was barely enough to make up for their dismal showing the previous year.

So, the perennial active vs. index debate rages on in 2010.

Dave Klug

Active U.S. stock funds were up an average 32.8% last year over all, compared with index funds' 31.7%, according to investment-research firm Morningstar. Yet during the market's brisk rebound from its March 9 lows, index funds took the lead, surging 82% as active funds jumped 73%.

Over the course of last year, 48% of active funds outperformed their corresponding Russell index, up from 43% in 2008.

Brian Hogan, president of the equity group at Fidelity Investments, says, "We're in a great stock-picking environment right now. And this bodes well for active management," which is able to identify inefficiencies in the market and exploit them through research, trading and portfolio construction.

But Scott Burns, director of ETF research for Morningstar, says the decision to buy an index fund isn't "saying that you can't beat the market. It's just saying you don't know who will beat the market and that you'd rather keep costs low and have the average rather than risk picking a stud or a dud."

If you're choosing between actively managed and index funds, here are five things to keep in mind -- things an active fund manager may not tell you:

1 A Good Run Will Not Last Forever.

"Top-tier active managers with long-term benchmark outperformance almost inevitably have periods of three years or more where they underperform," says Bill Thatcher, a senior consultant at research and consulting firm Hammond Associates in St. Louis.

Some of the winners over the past decade lost big in late 2008 and early 2009.

After beating the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index for 15 years, Bill Miller, manager of the Legg Mason Capital Management Value fund, was down 55% for 2008, while the S&P 500 fell 37%. The fund ended 2009 up 41%, but lost more than 67% from the market peak in October 2007 through February 2009.

[Lede]

A $10,000 investment 15 years ago would be worth about $36,173 today. But anyone who jumped in with $10,000 around the peak of the market in October 2007 would have just $5,734.

"Yesterday's winners are far more likely to be tomorrow's losers," says John Bogle, founder of mutual-fund giant Vanguard Group and a champion of low-cost index funds.

Michael Mauboussin, chief investment strategist for Legg Mason Capital Management, says, "When you see streaks in investing, it's luck and skill combined." Bad luck played a role in the fund's 2008 performance, he says, just as skill played a role in its rebound last year.

2 Expense Ratios Vary Widely.

Both types of funds have an expense ratio -- reflecting fees to pay for everything from administrative costs to the portfolio manager. It's expressed as an annual percentage of fund assets, and can range from under 0.1% for an open-end index fund to more than 2% for some actively managed funds.

On the whole, the expense ratios for actively managed funds are significantly higher than for index funds, with the average being 1.4% for the former and 0.9% for the latter, according to Morningstar.

3 Other Fees Can Add Up.

Then there are transaction and trading costs. These are more likely to be higher for an actively managed fund, which typically does more trading than an index fund. They average about 1.4% or 1.6% on top of the published expense ratio, says Dan Culloton, associate director of fund analysis at Morningstar.

In addition, some funds charge a commission, called a "load," either when you initially invest in the fund or when you cash out your investment.

"Actively managed funds' costs are higher than index funds' costs," says Mr. Thatcher. But "on the whole, active funds' higher costs do not buy you better performance."

4 Short-Term Gains Can Be Taxing.

Actively managed funds trade more frequently, so many of the gains tend to be short term, says Stephen Horan, head of professional education content and private wealth at CFA Institute, a nonprofit association of investment professionals. And short-term gains are taxed as ordinary income, with rates as high as 35%.

Index funds, on the other hand, tend to buy and sell less frequently. So more of their gains are long term, and, thus, subject to the lower capital-gains rate, a maximum 15%, Mr. Horan says.

The activities of other investors also can impact your returns and tax situation, says Morningstar's Mr. Burns. If people start heading for the door, as they did in 2008 and early 2009, a fund manager is more likely to sell winners, instead of losers, which could increase short-term capital gains.

5 If It Acts Like an Indexer...

Watch out for closet indexers -- actively managed funds that mimic an index -- especially if they are charging high fees.

If a fund is never too far ahead or behind its benchmark index and its correlation is really high with that index, that could be a sign of a closet indexer, says Mr. Culloton. Also, does a fund have hundreds of stocks in rather small positions or do its holdings look the same as the index but slightly rearranged, he asks.

"If you find a fund that's got all of these traits and it's charging one percent or more," Mr. Culloton says, "you have to ask yourself why."

Write to Anna Prior at anna.prior@wsj.com

Can we afford to ignore $ 8, 657.25?  The additional amount returned to UCN on $104,000 invested over 5 years at a difference of 0.8836% is  $ 8, 657.25.   (E.R. = expense ratio.)  UUA pays 13 different managers to invest its money.  If UUA's managers make nothing, we still have to pay 1.1% to UUA just to have it handle our funds.  This might have made sense before the internet and before passive investing, but as the Google search below shows, research confirms that passive investing beats active investing over 70% of the time.  Why deny the experience of the experts? 

 

 

 

 

 

---------------------------------

References:

www.Vanguard.com

TAA:             http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&source=hp&q=globall+taa+%2B+expense+ratios&rlz=1R2ACGW_en&aq=f&oq=&aqi=                                                             

 GTAA =  Global Tactical Asset Allocation:  Expense Ratio = ??

http://www.uua.org/searchoursite.shtml?cx=007175923080295419477%3Acbowmcgn4uu&cof=FORID%3A11&q=gtaa#1034

http://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q=cache:W3LcHvWAob0J:www.uua.org/documents/finance/uucef/080331_gif_summary.pdf+gtaa&hl=en&gl=us&sig=AHIEtbSVYdiynsYqjwyHARut6KpMYn6j9g

Risk Curves

http://seekingalpha.com/article/32460-replacing-barclays-ishares-bond-etfs-with-vanguard-s-new-bond-etfs

http://www.socialfunds.com/funds/profile.cgi?sfFundId=372

Neuberger Berman

"HANDS THAT SERVE ARE MORE SACRED THAN LIPS THAT PRAY."  Mother Teresa